The weather over the next week or so will be highs in the 90’s and lows in the low 70’s. Winds will be mostly southerly at 5-15 mph. There will be a few variances but for the most part, average for August. Boring forecast so I will get into the middle of what I want to convey this week.
I attended the 2013 Emergency Management Conference in Norman this week and attended several good talks and lectures. One of the important talks that I attended was given by Rick Smith who is the Warning Coordination Meteorologist at the National Weather Service. The facts and figures that he presented for all the May 2013 tornadic events were unbelievable in some cases but he brought up several points that were important but for the sake of time, I will hit on one very important fact.
Most of you all know how I feel about the drama on television when it comes to severe weather. In that world of competition and ratings, it can get out of control and they can panic a lot of people. Suggestions were stated in how we can bring continuity into the broadcast media’s way of doing things so the public is a bit more educated and not panicked. Unfortunately, we have NO CONTROL over them. Along those same lines, the maps on where the threats are for any given event are very different depending on what station you watch. As you all can probably remember in some of my emails, I have stated that lines on any map are relative and they will change. This said, I will be discussing the Storm Prediction Center and how I derive my information that I pass along to you.
The Storm Prediction center has probably the smartest folks in the weather business working there and their only job is to do the best they can to pinpoint where in the United States dangerous weather will occur and what they see as what to expect overall across the country. This is what they do. Based on atmospheric conditions, model outputs, satellite imagery, some of which we never see, and their expertise, is why I utilize their maps, discussions and information over privatized companies that try to outperform them.
Over the last 5-10 years, the SPC have gotten very good at these predictions as you may have noticed that they can virtually pinpoint those areas pretty close in their outlooks and Mesoscale discussions. Do they always come true? No, mainly because the weather will do what it wants to do. They can pinpoint very close where those severe conditions may occur but as we all know, those areas may vary some given changes in the atmosphere. The SPC puts out an outlook every day and on severe weather days they may put those out several times. Their areas for General, Slight, Moderate, or High Risks are the most accurate I have ever seen and this is why I depend heavily of their information and the discussions from the NWS. I could go on and on about this but I don’t want to bore everyone.
Overall, I would like to see the television media out there utilize the SPC mapping instead of their own to bring continuity into the mix. Will we see that? Probably not, mainly because it’s ratings.
I have been asked how I derive my information; I read everything the NWS and the SPC put out there early in the day. I take a lot of their technical verbiage and translate it to our level on understanding and pass it on. There are times I will call them and ask what in the world does a certain statement mean!!! They answer that AND I FEEL LIKE AN IDIOT THINKING THAT I SHOULD HAVE SEEN THAT. Oh well, it happens. Welcome to my world!! You can read all of their info at the following link: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/ and the NWS at this link: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/
Finally, we will be out at the Fairgrounds attending the Sportsman’s Expo this weekend and we will be giving away “by drawing” 10 Weather Radios. We will draw the winners and call you if you win. You will be able to pick up your radio at the Chisholm Trail Offices at 316 East Willow starting Monday morning August 26th. Come find us and VAFB Emergency Management and get educated on Preparedness information. We hope to see you all out there.
Have a super weekend!!
Mike Honigsberg, Certified Director
Enid/Garfield County Emergency Management
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Ways to get information directly from Enid/ Garfield County Emergency Management:
1. Text Alerts from Enid/Garfield County Emergency Management through NIXLE at Nixle or text your zip code to 888777 for SMS notifications. Follow the instructions. This information comes directly from our network here in Garfield County.
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During any incident or severe weather we STRONGLY encourage everyone to listen to your local AM and FM radio stations. They are 103.1-KOFM.960-KGWA, 107.1-KNID, 95.7-KXLS, 1390-KCRC, 104.7 KEIF-LP.
SUPPORT THE “CONTINUANCE” OF THE 1/10 CENT RURAL FIRE TAX IN OCTOBER.